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Israeli Election Poll

Dr. Aharon Lerner
Date: January 15, 1999

The following are the results of a survey carried out by Gallup the week of January 15, 1999 of a representative sample of 560 Israeli adults. Survey error +/- 4.5 percentage points


First Round

Jan 15 1999 Jan 10 1999 Jan 4 1999 Week 30 December Week 25 December
Netanyahu 38% 35% 33% 31% 27%
Barak 32% 32% 32% 34% 30%
Shahak 16% 17% 20% 17% 20%
Begin 8% 7% 8% 10% 9%


Second Round


Netanyahu - Barak

Jan 15 1999 Jan 10 1999 Jan 4 1999 Week 30 December Week 25 December
Netanyahu 46% 45% 41% 40% 38%
Barak 47% 45% 51% 49% 45%


Netanyahu - Shahak

Jan 15 1999 Jan 10 1999 Jan 6 1999 Jan 4 1990 Week 30 December
Netanyahu 43% 39% 39% 35% 36%
Shahak 47% 48% 53% 54% 49%


Netanyahu - Meridor

Jan 15 1999 Jan 10 1999 Jan 6 1999 Jan 4 December
Netanyahu 43% 42% 38% 37%
Meridor 42% 40% 51% 49%


Arens - Barak

Jan 15 1999
Arens 34%
Barak 47%

Arens - Shahak

Jan 15, 1999
Arens 32%
Shahak 47%


Without any connection to your political opinions, who do you think will win the coming elections?

Total population
Netanyahu 56%
Barak 27%
Shahak 8%
Don't Know 9%


Voted Netanyahu
Netanyahu 81%
Barak 7%
Shahak 3%


Voted Peres
Netanyahu 32%
Barak 50%
Shahak 8%


What would you prefer that Minister of Defense Yitzchak Mordechai does? Stay in Likud or join the centrist party?

Total population
Stay 43%
Join Centerists 38%
Neither 10%


Voted Netanyahu
Stay 71%
Join Centerists 12%


Voted Peres
Stay 16%
Join Centerists 66%


Comparison of Barak to Netanyahu


Best protect Israel's security:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
42% 39% 8% 5% 6%


Best protect Israel's interests against the Palestinians:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
52% 36% 4% 4% 4%


Best advance the peace process:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
35% 50% 3% 5% 7%


Best handle the nation's economy:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
32% 48% 2% 6% 12%


Best handle social matters:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
31% 49% 4% 6% 10%


Most unite the nation:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
33% 40% 4% 14% 9%


Smarter:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
38% 31% 9% 4% 18%


Who you would prefer to be stuck with on a deserted island:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
30% 23% 3% 36% 8%


Who would you prefer to buy a used car from:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
22% 39% 2% 27% 10%


Who would be the best prime minister:

Netanyahu Barak Both Neither Don't Know
42% 45% 2% 4% 7%


Comparison of Shahak to Netanyahu


Best protect Israel's security:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
36% 44% 5% 2% 13%


Best protect Israel's interests against the Palestinians:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
46% 40% 4% 3% 7%


Best advance the peace process:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
34% 48% 3% 3% 12%


Best handle the nation's economy:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
36% 38% 3% 6% 17%


Best handle social matters:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
32% 47% 3% 4% 14%


Most unite the nation:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
33% 48% 3% 6% 10%


Smarter:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
37% 33% 7% 3% 20%


Who you would prefer to be stuck with on a deserted island:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
27% 37% 3% 24% 9%


Who would you prefer to buy a used car from:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
20% 45% 3% 20% 12%


Who would be the best prime minister:

Netanyahu Shahak Both Neither Don't Know
38% 45% 1% 5% 11%



('Maariv' 15 January, 1999)