Israeli Opinion Polls
Dr. Aaron Lerner
December 29, 2000
Gallup - Maariv
The following are the results of a survey of a representative sample
of 597 adult Israelis (Jews and Arabs) carried out by Gallup the week
of 29 December. Sampling error +/- 4.5 percentage points:
If elections were held today:
| Date |
Barak |
Sharon |
| December 29 |
24% |
45% |
| December 22 |
28% |
46% |
| December 15 |
35% |
40% |
| December 8 |
32% |
35% |
| November 29 |
35% |
37% |
| November 22 |
30% |
41% |
| November 15 |
34% |
37% |
| November 8 |
37% |
36% |
| October 25 |
36% |
37% |
| October 18 |
31% |
41% |
| October 11 |
36% |
36% |
| October 4 |
37% |
32% |
| September 27 |
39% |
34% |
| September 13 |
39% |
32% |
| September 6 |
43% |
31% |
|
| August 16 |
41% |
38% |
|
| August 2 |
41% |
35% |
| July 26 |
45% |
30% |
| July 19 |
44% |
36% |
| July 12 |
42% |
33% |
| July 5 |
44% |
31% |
| June 28 |
41% |
37% |
| June 21 |
43% |
34% |
| June 14 |
50% |
35% |
| May 31 2000 |
44% |
35% |
| May 24 2000 |
43% |
35% |
| May 19 2000 |
43% |
36% |
| April 15 2000 |
43% |
31% |
When the pollster pushed the undecided to decide:
Of those 100% certain they will vote:
The Arab Voters:
What are the chances you will vote for Ehud Barak?
| Zero |
One to Ninety Nine percent |
One hundred percent |
Do not know |
| 51% |
27% |
17% |
5% |
What are the chances you will vote for Ariel Sharon?
| Zero |
One to Ninety Nine percent |
One hundred percent |
Do not know |
| 32% |
31% |
33% |
4% |
In your opinion, should Israel respond favorably to President
Clinton's proposal regarding the final agreement?
| Yes |
No |
Do not know |
| 36% |
45% |
19% |
Imagine that the permanent agreement between Israel and the
Palestinians includes the following conditions:
Israeli withdrawal from some 95% of the West Bank.
80% of settlers remain under Israeli sovereignty.
Palestinian sovereignty in Arab neighborhoods in eastern Jerusalem,
Israeli sovereignty in Jewish neighborhoods.
International recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital.
Palestinian concession of the right of return and declaration of the
end of the conflict.
Under these conditions would you support the permanent agreement?
| Yes |
No |
Do not know |
| 38% |
53% |
9% |
Do you think that Ehud Barak has a mandate to carry out negotiations
with the Palestinians during the elections?
| Yes |
No |
Do not know |
| 32% |
61% |
7% |
Is Ehud Barak trying to reach an agreement with the Palestinians
before the elections out of national or personal considerations?
| Date |
National |
Personal |
Both |
Do not know |
| Dec 29 |
26% |
57% |
10% |
7% |
| Dec 22 |
30% |
48% |
14% |
7% |
Is there are partner to peace on the Palestinian side?
| Yes |
No |
Do not know |
| 29% |
60% |
11% |
Do you agree with the assertion that "only Sharon can bring peace"?
| Yes |
No |
Do not know |
| 26% |
65% |
9% |
Do you agree with the assertion that "if you choose Sharon you choose war"?
| Yes |
No |
Do not know |
| 23% |
70% |
7% |
Do you agree with the assertion that "Barak is having a clearance
sale of the state"?
| Yes |
No |
Do not know |
| 48% |
47% |
5% |
Ma'ariv 29 December 2000
Dahaf Poll
Dahaf - Yediot Ahronot
The following is a Dahaf Poll of a representative sample of 501 adult
Israelis (both Jews and Arabs) the week of 29 December 2000. Survey
error of +/- 4.5 percentage points -
| Date |
Barak |
Sharon |
Undecided |
| December 29 |
35% |
48% |
17% |
| December 22 |
38% |
49% |
13% |
| December 15 |
33% |
40% |
27% |
| December 8 |
40% |
42% |
18% |
Would you support a peace agreement as developed in recent weeks?
| Yes |
No |
No Reply |
| 44% |
51% |
5% |
Yediot Ahronot 29 December 2000
BACK TO GAMLA
| 