Israeli Opinion Polls

Dr. Aaron Lerner
December 8, 2000




Dahaf Poll

Dahaf - Yediot Ahronot

The following is a Dahaf Poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis (both Jews and Arabs) the week of 8 December 2000. Survey error of +/- 4.5 percentage points -


Party Current
Knesset
Present System
(One Vote for PM, One for Party)
Old System
(One Vote for Party)
One Israel 26 23 28
Likud 19 28 33
Meretz 10 10 9
Arab parties 7 8 7
Hadash 3 3 3
Shinui 6 9 6
Yisrael B'Aliyah (Sharansky) 4 5 4
One Nation (Peretz) 2 2 2
Democratic Choice (Bronfman) 2 0 0
Gesher (present seats counted with One Israel) 0 0 0
Yisrael Beiteinu/National Union (includes Herut) 8 9 7
Shas 17 13 12
United Torah 5 5.5 5
National Religious Part 5 5 4


Who will better handle the following matters?

Barak Netanyahu Neither Same No Reply
Economy 29% 38% 21% 9% 3%
Current crisis with the Palestinians 25% 41% 23% 8% 3%
Bringing Peace 30% 36% 26% 7% 1%
Relations between ultra orthodox and secular 25% 40% 22% 8% 5%
Who is more trustworthy 34% 32% 22% 10% 2%



Yediot Ahronot 8 December 2000




Gallup - Maariv

The following are the results of a survey of a representative sample of 1,300 adult Israelis (Jews and Arabs) carried out by Gallup on the week of 8 December. Sampling error +/- 3.5 percentage points:


If elections were held today:
Date Barak Netanyahu Comments
December 8 27% 46%
November 29 29% 46% Barak Calls Elections
November 22 27% 48% Oslo War continues
November 15 29% 47% Oslo War continues
November 8 30% 47% Oslo War continues
October 25 30% 47%
October 18 27% 48% (After Sharm Summit)
October 11 30% 46% Israel burning/Before Lynch
October 4 32% 41% Israel burning
September 27 38% 42% Case closed on Netanyahu
September 13 38% 39%
September 6 41% 38% De'eri jail, Min. Religion closing
August 16 38% 43%
August 2 40% 43%
July 26 43% 38% Camp David Talks Fail
July 19 39% 40% Camp David Talks in Stalemate
July 12 36% 39%
July 5 39% 41% Camp David Talks Announced
June 28 36% 44%
June 21 40% 42% Middle of resignations
June 14 46% 39%
May 31 41% 41%
May 24 42% 37% Just left Lebanon
May 19 45% 38%
May 15 42% 39%
April 5 40% 37%
March 31 42.5% 42.4%
March 1 50% 34%
Feb 9 42% 37%
Feb 2 45% 36%
Nov 19 1999 50% 33%
Oct 8 1999 56% 26%
Aug 14 1999 50% 29%
June 25 1999 59% 27%

Avraham Burg 35% Netanyahu 43%
Shimon Peres 36% Netanyahu 44%
Ben Ami 30% Netanyahu 50%


Date Barak Sharon
December 8 32% 35%
November 29 35% 37%
November 22 30% 41%
November 15 34% 37%
November 8 37% 36%
October 25 36% 37%
October 18 31% 41%
October 11 36% 36%
October 4 37% 32%
September 27 39% 34%
September 13 39% 32%
September 6 43% 31%
August 16 41% 38%
August 2 41% 35%
July 26 45% 30%
July 19 44% 36%
July 12 42% 33%
July 5 44% 31%
June 28 41% 37%
June 21 43% 34%
June 14 50% 35%
May 31 2000 44% 35%
May 24 2000 43% 35%
May 19 2000 43% 36%
April 15 2000 43% 31%


Party Current
Knesset
Present System
(One Vote for PM, One for Party)
Old System
(One Vote for Party)
One Israel 26 20 29.5
Likud 19 34 45
Meretz 10 8 5
Arab parties 7 5.5 5
Hadash 3 5.5 4
Shinui 6 12.5 6
Yisrael B'Aliyah (Sharansky) 4 3 1
One Nation (Peretz) 2 0 0
Democratic Choice (Bronfman) 2 0 0
Gesher (present seats counted with One Israel) 0 .5 0
Center Party (not in poll) 6 0 0
Yisrael Beiteinu/National Union (includes Herut) 8 5 3
Shas 17 11 7
United Torah 5 5.5 5
National Religious Part 5 8 6


Who in your opinion can reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians that is better for the Israelis, Barak or Netanyahu?

/tr> /tr>
Barak 25%
Netanyahu 39%
Both the same 17%
Do Not Know 19%


Who in your opinion can better handle the economy, Barak or Netanyahu?

/tr> /tr>
Barak 31%
Netanyahu 40%
Both the same 12%
Do Not Know 17%


Who in your opinion would handle the social/welfare area better?

/tr> /tr>
Barak 31%
Netanyahu 38%
Both the same 13%
Do Not Know 18%


Who in your opinion would be better in creating a feeling of security for the residents of the State?

/tr> /tr>
Barak 23%
Netanyahu 54%
Both the same 12%
Do Not Know 11%
Voted Barak 1999: Barak 41% Netanyahu 28%
Voted Netanyahu 1999: Barak 2% Netanyahu 87%

Ma'ariv 8 December 2000


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