Israeli Opinion Polls
Dr. Aaron Lerner
December 2, 2000
Dahaf Poll
Dahaf - Yediot Ahronot
The following are the results of a survey of a representative sample
of 505 adult Israelis (both Jews and Arabs) the week of 1 December 2000.
Survey error of +/- 4.5 percentage points -
Did Barak's decision to go for elections increase his trustworthiness in
your eyes?
| Strengthen |
30% |
| Hurt |
28% |
| No impact |
39% |
| No reply |
3% |
Do you want Barak to reach a peace agreement before the elections?
| Yes |
56% |
| No |
40% |
| No Reply |
4% |
Knesset Poll
| Party |
Next Knesset |
Current |
Change |
| One Israel |
23 |
[26] |
-3 |
| Likud |
27 |
[19] |
+6 |
| Shas |
13 |
[17] |
-4 |
| Meretz |
10 |
[10] |
|
| Yisrael B'aliya |
4.5 |
[6] |
+1.5 |
| Shinui |
9 |
[6] |
+3 |
| Center |
0 |
[6] |
-6 |
| National Religious Party |
5 |
[5] |
|
| United Torah |
5 |
[5] |
|
| National Union |
4 |
[4] |
|
| Yisrael Beiteinu (Lieberman) |
5 |
[4] |
+1 |
| One Nation (Peretz) |
2 |
[2] |
|
| Chadash |
3 |
[3] |
|
| United Arab List |
5 |
[5] |
|
| Balad (Bishara) |
2 |
[1] |
+1 |
| Ta'al (Tibi) |
1.5 |
[1] |
+.5 |
Yediot Ahronot 1 December 2000
Gallup - Maariv
The following are the results of a survey of a representative sample
of 600 adult Israelis (Jews and Arabs) carried out by Gallup on
the evening of Wednesday 29 November. Sampling error +/-
4.5 percentage points:
If elections were held today:
| Date |
Barak |
Netanyahu |
Comments |
| November 29 |
29% |
46% |
Barak Calls Elections |
| November 22 |
27% |
48% |
Oslo War continues |
| November 15 |
29% |
47% |
Oslo War continues |
| November 8 |
30% |
47% |
Oslo War continues |
| October 25 |
30% |
47% |
|
| October 18 |
27% |
48% |
(After Sharm Summit) |
| October 11 |
30% |
46% |
Israel burning/Before Lynch |
| October 4 |
32% |
41% |
Israel burning |
| September 27 |
38% |
42% |
Case closed on Netanyahu |
| September 13 |
38% |
39% |
|
| September 6 |
41% |
38% |
De'eri jail, Min. Religion closing |
| August 16 |
38% |
43% |
|
| August 2 |
40% |
43% |
|
| July 26 |
43% |
38% |
Camp David Talks Fail |
| July 19 |
39% |
40% |
Camp David Talks in Stalemate |
| July 12 |
36% |
39% |
|
| July 5 |
39% |
41% |
Camp David Talks Announced |
| June 28 |
36% |
44% |
|
| June 21 |
40% |
42% |
Middle of resignations |
| June 14 |
46% |
39% |
|
| May 31 |
41% |
41% |
|
| May 24 |
42% |
37% |
Just left Lebanon |
| May 19 |
45% |
38% |
|
| May 15 |
42% |
39% |
|
| April 5 |
40% |
37% |
|
| March 31 |
42.5% |
42.4% |
|
| March 1 |
50% |
34% |
|
| Feb 9 |
42% |
37% |
|
| Feb 2 |
45% |
36% |
|
| Nov 19 1999 |
50% |
33% |
|
| Oct 8 1999 |
56% |
26% |
|
| Aug 14 1999 |
50% |
29% |
|
| June 25 1999 |
59% |
27% |
|
Avraham Burg 35% Netanyahu 43%
Shimon Peres 37% Netanyahu 44%
Ben Ami 30% Netanyahu 50%
| Date |
Barak |
Sharon |
| November 29 |
35% |
37% |
| November 22 |
30% |
41% |
| November 15 |
34% |
37% |
| November 8 |
37% |
36% |
| October 25 |
36% |
37% |
| October 18 |
31% |
41% |
| October 11 |
36% |
36% |
| October 4 |
37% |
32% |
| September 27 |
39% |
34% |
| September 13 |
39% |
32% |
| September 6 |
43% |
31% |
|
| August 16 |
41% |
38% |
|
| August 2 |
41% |
35% |
| July 26 |
45% |
30% |
| July 19 |
44% |
36% |
| July 12 |
42% |
33% |
| July 5 |
44% |
31% |
| June 28 |
41% |
37% |
| June 21 |
43% |
34% |
| June 14 |
50% |
35% |
| May 31 2000 |
44% |
35% |
| May 24 2000 |
43% |
35% |
| May 19 2000 |
43% |
36% |
| April 15 2000 |
43% |
31% |
If Ehud Barak and Binyamin Netanyahu run in the coming elections who
will win?
| Barak |
15% |
| Netanyahu |
70% |
| Do Not Know |
15% |
Are you pleased that the elections have been advanced?
| Yes |
57% |
| No |
34% |
| Do Not Know |
9% |
Do you support or oppose a national emergency government?
| Yes |
62% |
| No |
30% |
| Do Not Know |
8% |
Prime Minister Ehud Barak promises to continue trying to reach an
agreement with the Palestinians even during the period of the election campaign.
His opponents say that since new elections have been set that Barak does not
have the mandate to go for a diplomatic agreement. Does he have a
mandate?
| Yes |
46% |
| No |
47% |
| Do Not Know |
7% |
Voted Barak in 1999: Yes 64% No 29%
Voted Netanyahu in 1999: Yes 19% No 76%
Assuming that Barak and Arafat reach an agreement or an interim
agreement before the coming elections, and the elections will determine the
destiny of the agreement, if the candidates were Barak and Netanyahu who would you
vote for?
| Barak |
40% |
| Netanyahu |
43% |
| Do Not Know |
17% |
Ma'ariv 1 December 2000
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